Strategy Development – A History of Failure
It’s an unfortunate reality that the field of technical analysis is better known for its failures than its successes. With over 90% of active traders losing it paints an unflattering picture.
Its landscape is littered with more failed methodologies and trading strategies then you can hope to count. Approaches that only ever looked good on a few well-chosen charts. Curve fitted and data mined strategies with too numerous and too overly optimised variables.
Failure wherever you look.
Despite the marketing hype it’s rare to find methodologies that survive past their release date.
Good, out-of-sample, robust performance is a scarce commodity in the world of trading.
Although my models are not perfect (they do suffer drawdowns and they do cause pain) they do have positive out-of-sample performance past their release dates.
Positive post release performance which is a very rare commodity in the field of strategy development.
My medium-term models hold trades between 20 – 30 days.
The following models trade all markets including the currencies, indices, interest rates, energy, metals, grains, softs and meats.